General Motors (NYSE:GM) said on April 30 that its first-quarter net income nearly doubled from a year ago, to $2.1 billion, as strong pricing on trucks and SUVs — and a boost from GM’s investment in Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) — helped offset production disruptions and ongoing weakness in China.
Excluding one-time items, GM earned $1.41 per share, well ahead of the $1.10-per-share average estimate from Wall Street analysts polled by Thomson Reuters. But GM’s $34.9 billion in revenue fell slightly short of the consensus analyst estimate, and GM’s share price dropped in early trading after results were released.
The raw numbers
| Metric | Q1 2019 | Change vs. Q1 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $34.9 billion | (3.4%) |
| Global deliveries | 1,879,000 | (10.4%) |
| EBIT-adjusted | $2.3 billion | (11.5%) |
| EBIT-adjusted margin | 6.6% | (0.6 percentage points) |
| Net income | $2.1 billion | 93.2% |
| Adjusted earnings per share | $1.41 | (1.4%) |
| Automotive operating cash flow | ($2.2 billion) | $1.1 billion worse |
What helped and hurt
Here are the key factors that drove (and mitigated) GM’s 11.5% year-over-year decline in EBIT-adjusted.
What hurt:
- Lower sales volumes in North America. Sedan sales declined, supplies of GM’s new pickups remained tight, and supplies of GM’s big (and hugely profitable) truck-based SUVs were limited because of planned downtime at the factory that makes them. (GM took the downtime in order to make changes at the factory ahead of the launch of all-new big SUV models later this year.)
- Lower sales volumes in China, where the overall new-car market has slumped.
- Continued cost headwinds related to commodity prices and tariffs.
What helped:
- Strong pricing on GM’s all-new pickups. GM said that average transaction prices, net of incentives, on the crew-cab versions of its new trucks (the first versions to go into production) were almost $5,800 higher than prices on 2018-model crew-cab trucks in the first quarter last year.
- Sales of GM’s new-generation crossover SUVs continued to be strong, helped by the new Cadillac XT4 and Chevrolet Blazer models. The automaker’s current crossovers have higher profit margins than the models they replaced — and (generally speaking) higher profit margins than the sedan sales they are displacing.
- GM revalued its stake in Lyft, held since early 2016, in the wake of the ridesharing company’s initial public offering during the first quarter. That added about $300 million to GM’s net income.
How GM’s business units performed in the first quarter
Note that all financial results in this section are presented on an EBIT-adjusted basis, except where noted.
North America: GM earned $1.9 billion in its home market in the first quarter, down from $2.2 billion a year ago. The impact of lower sales volumes was exacerbated by the SUV factory shutdown, offset somewhat by strong pricing on the company’s new light-duty pickups and an ongoing cost-reduction effort.
GM’s EBIT-adjusted margin in North America, a widely watched number, fell to 6.9% from 8% in the first quarter of 2018.
GM International: GM’s catch-all overseas division earned just $31 million in the first quarter, down from $189 million a year ago. Incremental improvements driven by last year’s restructuring in Korea and good pricing performance in Argentina were more than offset by exchange-rate movements and a sales slump in China.
Equity income from GM’s joint ventures with Chinese automakers fell to $376 million in the quarter from $597 million a year ago. The company was able to use cost reductions to somewhat offset the effects of lower sales volumes and competitive pricing pressures.
GM Cruise: GM’s self-driving subsidiary lost $169 million in the first quarter, versus a loss of $166 million in Q1 2018. Cruise isn’t earning any money yet; it’s working to get its technology ready for the launch of a self-driving taxi service. Asked about the timing of that launch during the earnings call, CEO Mary Barra emphasized that the service will launch when GM determines that Cruise’s self-driving system is sufficiently advanced to be safe — which may or may not happen by the end of 2019.
GM Financial: GM’s captive-financing subsidiary generated $359 million in adjusted pre-tax earnings in the quarter, down from $443 million in the year-ago period. Good growth in the unit’s portfolio was offset by higher interest costs and lower auction values for vehicles returned as leases ended.
Special items, cash, and liquidity
GM had a net gain of $67 million from one-time items in the first quarter. A charge of $790 million for global restructuring (which the company terms “transformation activities”) was more than offset by a tax gain of $857 million related to a favorable court judgment in Brazil.
As of March 31, 2019, GM had $15.8 billion in cash available to its core automaking business, down from $19.6 billion at year-end as the company spent cash ahead of new-product launches later this year. In addition to its cash, GM had $16.8 billion in lines of credit available to its automotive business, for total automotive liquidity of $32.6 billion.
Looking ahead: GM reiterated its 2019 guidance
CFO Dhivya Suryadevara reiterated the upbeat guidance that GM gave in January. For the full year, the company still expects its adjusted earnings per share to come in between $6.50 and $7.00, with adjusted automotive free cash flow of between $4.5 billion and $6.0 billion.
Suryadevara said that the first quarter would probably be GM’s worst of the year from an earnings perspective, because of the SUV factory downtime and the continued ramp-up of production of the new pickups. She said that the company expects the second quarter to be better than the first, despite planned downtime at GM’s heavy-duty pickup factory, and both the third and fourth quarters to be better than the second as production of new products hits full speed.
